알리바바, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) · 2026년 9월 3일 미국 장마감 기준
알리바바 주식은 현재 111.81달러에 거래되고 있습니다. 2026년 9월 초에 만기를 맞는 옵션 시장을 보면, 투자자들은 이 주가가 만기 시점에 115달러 부근으로 움직일 가능성이 가장 높다고 보고 있습니다. 이는 현재 가격보다 다소 높은 수준이라 시장에는 상승에 대한 기대가 있다고 볼 수 있습니다.
옵션 시장의 포지션을 살펴보면, 주가가 오를 때 가치가 올라가는 매수 옵션의 계약 수가 주가가 내릴 때 가치가 올라가는 매도 옵션보다 많습니다. 특히 120달러에 걸린 매수 옵션에 계약이 대량으로 몰려 있어, 투자자들이 주가가 그 근처까지 오를 것을 기대하고 있음을 보여줍니다. 다만 동시에 108달러에 걸린 매도 옵션에도 큰 포지션이 잡혀 있어, 예상 밖의 하락에 대비한 방어도 철저히 하고 있는 모습입니다.
시장이 예상하는 앞으로의 주가 변동 폭은 상당히 큰 편입니다. 옵션 가격에 반영된 기대 변동성이 30% 수준으로, 이는 주가가 단기간에 크게 출렁일 수 있다는 뜻입니다. 따라서 지금은 상승을 기대하면서도 하단을 방어하려는 움직임이 동시에 나타나고 있는 상황으로 읽힙니다.
$113
0.45
19.7%
—
| Strike | Call OI | Put OI |
|---|---|---|
| 80 | 29 | 5 |
| 85 | 28 | 32 |
| 90 | 5 | 47 |
| 95 | 59 | 91 |
| 100 | 149 | 1166 |
| 101 | 131 | 29 |
| 102 | 150 | 79 |
| 103 | 178 | 120 |
| 104 | 77 | 180 |
| 105 | 218 | 348 |
| 106 | 163 | 494 |
| 107 | 88 | 2728 |
| 108 | 210 | 5837 |
| 109 | 169 | 755 |
| 110 | 1676 | 3706 |
| 111 | 1531 | 698 |
| 112 | 2194 | 1657 |
| 113 | 2457 | 3286 |
| 114 | 1952 | 885 |
| 115 | 2187 | 2311 |
| 116 | 2919 | 371 |
| 117 | 2774 | 213 |
| 118 | 2718 | 195 |
| 119 | 2914 | 117 |
| 120 | 5273 | 21 |
| 121 | 1463 | 0 |
| 122 | 3349 | 0 |
| 123 | 1197 | 4 |
| 124 | 1777 | 7 |
| 125 | 3710 | 12 |
| 126 | 1346 | 0 |
| 127 | 928 | 0 |
| 128 | 910 | 10 |
| 129 | 491 | 0 |
| 130 | 3211 | 0 |
| 131 | 412 | 0 |
| 132 | 530 | 0 |
| 133 | 350 | 0 |
| 134 | 132 | 0 |
| 135 | 886 | 0 |
| 136 | 214 | 0 |
| 137 | 96 | 0 |
| 138 | 106 | 0 |
| 139 | 92 | 0 |
| 140 | 1383 | 0 |
| 141 | 202 | 0 |
| 142 | 162 | 0 |
| 143 | 59 | 0 |
| 144 | 44 | 0 |
| 145 | 302 | 0 |
| 146 | 59 | 0 |
| 147 | 129 | 0 |
| 149 | 3 | 0 |
| 150 | 1099 | 0 |
| 152.5 | 7 | 0 |
| 155 | 339 | 0 |
| 157.5 | 1 | 0 |
| 160 | 458 | 0 |
| 165 | 111 | 0 |
| 170 | 150 | 0 |
| 175 | 69 | 0 |
| 180 | 5 | 0 |
| 185 | 1 | 0 |
| 190 | 0 | 0 |
| 195 | 0 | 0 |
| Strike | Call Volume | Put Volume |
|---|---|---|
| 80 | 75 | 0 |
| 85 | 75 | 2 |
| 90 | 4 | 1 |
| 95 | 16 | 22 |
| 100 | 2 | 1 |
| 101 | 106 | 20 |
| 102 | 149 | 2 |
| 103 | 1 | 9 |
| 104 | 1 | 6 |
| 105 | 6 | 1 |
| 106 | 1 | 22 |
| 107 | 67 | 7 |
| 108 | 81 | 207 |
| 109 | 57 | 96 |
| 110 | 291 | 1147 |
| 111 | 902 | 588 |
| 112 | 2148 | 977 |
| 113 | 6457 | 391 |
| 114 | 2890 | 296 |
| 115 | 1581 | 313 |
| 116 | 131 | 16 |
| 117 | 122 | 13 |
| 118 | 112 | 12 |
| 119 | 21 | 2 |
| 120 | 49 | 19 |
| 121 | 13 | 3 |
| 122 | 27 | 398 |
| 123 | 6 | 1 |
| 124 | 9 | 1 |
| 125 | 39 | 32 |
| 126 | 7 | 36 |
| 127 | 6 | 12 |
| 128 | 16 | 27 |
| 129 | 2 | 37 |
| 130 | 17 | 2 |
| 131 | 6 | 10 |
| 132 | 33 | 8 |
| 133 | 4 | 1 |
| 134 | 1 | 1 |
| 135 | 28 | 70 |
| 136 | 12 | 10 |
| 137 | 2 | 18 |
| 138 | 4 | 1 |
| 139 | 1 | 1 |
| 140 | 5 | 64 |
| 141 | 1 | 3 |
| 142 | 1 | 6 |
| 143 | 29 | 0 |
| 144 | 1 | 12 |
| 145 | 1 | 12 |
| 146 | 1 | 0 |
| 147 | 1 | 0 |
| 149 | 3 | 0 |
| 150 | 1 | 1 |
| 152.5 | 5 | 0 |
| 155 | 1 | 0 |
| 157.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 160 | 50 | 2 |
| 165 | 1 | 0 |
| 170 | 1 | 0 |
| 175 | 2 | 0 |
| 180 | 1 | 0 |
| 185 | 2 | 0 |
| 190 | 0 | 0 |
| 195 | 0 | 0 |
| Strike | Call (Bid/Ask) | Call OI | Call IV | Put (Bid/Ask) | Put OI | Put IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $80 | $31.60/$33.60 | 29 | 410.7% | —/$0.05 | 5 | 285.9% |
| $85 | $26.65/$28.55 | 28 | 342.2% | $0.00/$0.01 | 32 | 187.5% |
| $90 | $22.40/$23.55 | 5 | 285.5% | $0.00/$0.53 | 47 | 260.5% |
| $95 | $17.45/$18.75 | 59 | 254.3% | $0.00/$0.01 | 91 | 118.8% |
| $100 | $12.35/$13.70 | 149 | 191.6% | $0.00/$0.01 | 1,166 | 87.5% |
| $101 | $11.15/$12.50 | 131 | 159.8% | $0.00/$0.53 | 29 | 148.4% |
| $102 | $10.15/$11.75 | 150 | 173.0% | $0.00/$0.10 | 79 | 99.6% |
| $103 | $9.80/$10.40 | 178 | 127.5% | $0.00/$0.10 | 120 | 91.8% |
| $104 | $8.00/$9.90 | 77 | 160.9% | $0.00/$0.05 | 180 | 75.0% |
| $105 | $7.55/$8.45 | 218 | 112.3% | $0.00/$0.01 | 348 | 56.3% |
| $106 | $6.05/$7.55 | 163 | 110.4% | $0.00/$0.01 | 494 | 50.0% |
| $107 | $6.15/$6.50 | 88 | 78.9% | $0.00/$0.02 | 2,728 | 51.2% |
| $108 | $5.15/$5.50 | 210 | 68.8% | $0.00/$0.02 | 5,837 | 43.8% |
| $109 | $4.20/$4.35 | 169 | 53.7% | $0.00/$0.02 | 755 | 36.3% |
| $110 | $3.20/$3.35 | 1,676 | 50.0% | $0.00/$0.02 | 3,706 | 28.9% |
| $111 | $2.24/$2.40 | 1,531 | 41.9% | $0.00/$0.03 | 698 | 22.7% |
| $112 | $1.26/$1.45 | 2,194 | 31.7% | $0.02/$0.03 | 1,657 | 13.9% |
| $113 Max Pain | $0.46/$0.54 | 2,457 | 19.7% | $0.15/$0.20 | 3,286 | 11.2% |
| $114 | $0.09/$0.10 | 1,952 | 16.3% | $0.72/$0.88 | 885 | 10.2% |
| $115 | $0.02/$0.03 | 2,187 | 19.9% | $1.68/$1.96 | 2,311 | 27.1% |
| $116 | $0.00/$0.01 | 2,919 | 23.4% | $2.59/$2.97 | 371 | 37.7% |
| $117 | $0.00/$0.01 | 2,774 | 29.7% | $3.40/$3.95 | 213 | 44.5% |
| $118 | $0.00/$0.01 | 2,718 | 35.9% | $4.55/$4.95 | 195 | 52.9% |
| $119 | $0.00/$0.01 | 2,914 | 42.2% | $5.50/$5.95 | 117 | 60.9% |
| $120 | $0.00/$0.01 | 5,273 | 48.4% | $6.25/$7.15 | 21 | 91.0% |
| $121 | $0.00/$0.01 | 1,463 | 50.0% | $7.35/$7.95 | 0 | 76.6% |
| $122 | $0.00/$0.01 | 3,349 | 56.3% | $8.40/$9.05 | 0 | 98.0% |
| $123 | $0.00/$0.01 | 1,197 | 59.4% | $9.55/$10.15 | 4 | 117.4% |
| $124 | $0.00/$0.01 | 1,777 | 65.6% | $10.25/$11.60 | 7 | 92.6% |
| $125 | $0.00/$0.01 | 3,710 | 71.9% | $10.95/$12.20 | 12 | 139.1% |
| $126 | $0.00/$0.01 | 1,346 | 75.0% | $12.45/$13.30 | 0 | 85.9% |
| $127 | $0.00/$0.01 | 928 | 81.3% | $13.20/$14.90 | 0 | 136.3% |
| $128 | $0.00/$0.01 | 910 | 87.5% | $14.10/$16.25 | 10 | 160.2% |
| $129 | $0.00/$0.10 | 491 | 119.5% | $15.30/$17.40 | 0 | 186.7% |
| $130 | $0.00/$0.01 | 3,211 | 93.8% | $16.65/$17.00 | 0 | 148.8% |
| $131 | $0.00/$0.83 | 412 | 194.3% | $17.40/$19.40 | 0 | 207.4% |
| $132 | $0.00/$0.05 | 530 | 125.0% | $18.30/$20.35 | 0 | 207.4% |
| $133 | $0.00/$0.61 | 350 | 195.5% | $19.45/$21.25 | 0 | 217.6% |
| $134 | $0.00/$1.98 | 132 | 270.8% | $20.30/$22.40 | 0 | 225.0% |
| $135 | $0.00/$0.01 | 886 | 118.8% | $21.30/$22.35 | 0 | 232.4% |
| $136 | $0.00/$2.04 | 214 | 289.4% | $22.55/$24.20 | 0 | 242.4% |
| $137 | $0.00/$0.01 | 96 | 125.0% | $23.30/$25.40 | 0 | 246.7% |
| $138 | $0.00/$0.01 | 106 | 131.3% | $24.30/$26.40 | 0 | 253.7% |
| $139 | $0.00/$2.13 | 92 | 316.5% | $25.30/$27.40 | 0 | 260.5% |
| $140 | $0.00/$0.01 | 1,383 | 140.6% | $26.40/$28.40 | 0 | 273.2% |
| $141 | $0.00/$0.30 | 202 | 218.8% | $27.20/$28.50 | 0 | 291.4% |
| $142 | $0.00/$0.52 | 162 | 246.9% | $28.50/$29.40 | 0 | 207.0% |
| $143 | $0.00/$2.13 | 59 | 346.3% | — | — | — |
| $144 | —/$0.55 | 44 | 301.2% | $30.30/$32.15 | 0 | 276.4% |
| $145 | $0.00/$0.03 | 302 | 178.1% | $31.35/$33.05 | 0 | 278.5% |
| $146 | $0.00/$0.93 | 59 | 303.1% | — | — | — |
| $147 | $0.00/$2.13 | 129 | 374.6% | — | — | — |
| $149 | $0.00/$2.13 | 3 | 388.3% | — | — | — |
| $150 | $0.00/$0.01 | 1,099 | 181.3% | $36.30/$38.40 | 0 | 331.1% |
| $152.5 | $0.00/$0.01 | 7 | 187.5% | — | — | — |
| $155 | $0.00/$0.02 | 339 | 212.5% | — | — | — |
| $157.5 | —/$2.13 | 1 | 532.4% | — | — | — |
| $160 | $0.00/$0.01 | 458 | 218.8% | $46.30/$48.40 | 0 | 387.9% |
| $165 | $0.00/$1.00 | 111 | 416.0% | — | — | — |
| $170 | $0.00/$0.21 | 150 | 345.3% | — | — | — |
| $175 | $0.00/$0.01 | 69 | 268.8% | — | — | — |
| $180 | $0.00/$2.13 | 5 | 567.4% | — | — | — |
| $185 | —/$1.99 | 1 | 684.0% | — | — | — |
| $190 | $0.00/$2.13 | 0 | 615.6% | — | — | — |
| $195 | $0.00/$0.75 | 0 | 528.1% | — | — | — |
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